The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (NYSE:EL) Delivers Outstanding Fiscal Year 2018 Results

– Fourth Quarter Reported Net Sales Increased 14%; Up 12% in Constant Currency –

– Full Year Reported Net Sales Rose 16%; Up 13% in Constant Currency –

– Strong Constant Currency Growth Expected to Continue in Fiscal 2019 –

The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (NYSE:EL) today reported strong financial results for its fourth quarter and fiscal year ended June 30, 2018. The Company reported fiscal year 2018 diluted net earnings per common share of $2.95 compared with $3.35 reported in the prior year. Excluding restructuring and other charges and adjustments, adjusted diluted net earnings per common share increased 30% to $4.51, and in constant currency rose 24%.

Fabrizio Freda, President and Chief Executive Officer, said, “Fiscal 2018 was an outstanding year for our Company. We generated higher sales in every region and product category and gained global share. By investing in our hero franchises, fast-growing channels and digital and social media, we delivered double-digit sales and adjusted earnings per share growth. We achieved record net sales in fiscal 2018 and one of our best performances in the last decade.

“Sales climbed in virtually all our brands and we hit milestones along the way. Among the top four brands, our flagship Estée Lauder brand achieved record global sales and grew 22% in constant currency, demonstrating the amazing equity of the brand. La Mer became the fourth brand in our portfolio to contribute well over $1 billion in net sales, and we increased sales at M•A•C and Clinique globally.

“Product innovation and creativity were strong across brands and Leading Beauty Forward provided us the flexibility to invest more in digital advertising behind our initiatives, which is accelerating our sales growth.”

Freda added, “In fiscal 2019, we will continue to create products that appeal to a more diverse and growing middle class around the world and we are confident that we can continue to achieve industry-leading sales and double-digit earnings per share growth. With a successful strategy that focuses on multiple engines of growth across products, geographies, channels and demographics, we expect to once again gain share globally in fiscal 2019.”

Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.

By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 141.38.

The projected upper bound is: 146.27.

The projected lower bound is: 134.35.

The projected closing price is: 140.31.


A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 4 white candles and 6 black candles for a net of 2 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 22 white candles and 28 black candles for a net of 6 black candles.

A long upper shadow occurred. This is typically a bearish signal (particularly when it occurs near a high price level, at resistance level, or when the security is overbought).

A rising window occurred (where the top of the previous shadow is below the bottom of the current shadow). This usually implies a continuation of a bullish trend.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 59.2072. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 12 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 59.12. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 44 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 266.This is an overbought reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses below 100. The last signal was a buy 5 period(s) ago.


The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 3 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

ESTEE LAUDER closed up 4.620 at 140.560. Volume was 113% above average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 32% narrower than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
141.000 144.870 139.200 140.560 1,046,967

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bullish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 134.24 142.18 138.88
Volatility: 25 26 25
Volume: 488,752 473,580 484,642

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.


ESTEE LAUDER gapped up today (bullish) on normal volume. Possibility of a Runaway Gap which usually signifies a continuation of the trend. Four types of price gaps exist – Common, Breakaway, Runaway, and Exhaustion. Gaps acts as support/resistance.
ESTEE LAUDER is currently 1.2% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is extremely high when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that volatility will decrease and prices will stabilize in the near term. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of EL.N at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on EL.N and have had this outlook for the last 1 periods.